[Editor's note: My computer froze up on me twice during the process of writing this tome, necessitating partial rewrites both times. Perhaps it was an omen... in case you get offended by anything written herein, pretend I never finished writing it, and then forget it.]
Well, NU lost this weekend... I guess I should take some small comfort in knowing that Herron is the only back thusfar to eclipse 100 yards against the UW defense... that's pretty small comfort. All I have to say is that the Badgers better go undefeated all the way to the Rose Bowl now that they've beat us...
Since there was no joy in Evanston this weekend, I had to turn to the NFL for my dose of vicarious victory. Thankfully both Green Bay and Jacksonville dished up big wins on Sunday. Of course, if you buy the theory esposed by thegusbus in
this thread, next weekends game will be even more important. Personally I hope that the streak ends this year, but barring that here's hoping the Packers take a dive.
And via that incredibly awkward transition I segue into politics.
Now, I could just tell you all who you are voting for, but that might be a bit strong arm... and the internet doesn't seem to be a medium in which arms operate stongly... So instead, allow me to outline the thought process that has gone on in my head culminating in a decision as to who will get my vote come election day.
But first, just so you know where I'm coming from, some background.
My parents were both democrats when they got married. Indeed, some might suggest that they a bit out there democrats, considering certain ideas that were tossed around regarding 'subsistence farming'. Somewhere along the way though, their views began to trend more conservative. I'm not sure if my parents could be considered "Regan Democrats"... certainly they didn't vote for him the first time around (and they still wouldn't have voted for him had they
not been busy with me being born on election day) Certainly by the arrival of the 1996 election at the latest I think both my parents would have self identified as Republicans... indeed my father evidently even carried a card. So, there exists the formal possibility that my mind was forever poisoned to "progressive" thought by my upbringing.
I don't think that is the case... but perhaps it is. What I do know is that my political views have been influenced mostly by two factors: my faith, and my interest in history. These two elements combined give me the theoretical framework and the evidence for my most fundamental political belief: people are not naturally good. Or at the very least, there are enough people who are not naturally good, and they are good enough at disguising themselves so as to necessitate dealing with everyone as being not naturally good. You follow? Good.
The other fundamental political view I hold is that individuals are responsible for their own actions, and should be free to do what they like as long as they accept the consequences. (including externalities). These two beliefs combined with a healthy dose of strict constitutional constructionism comprise my core political beliefs.
As far as parties go... well... I wouldn't self identify with either party... my highly stylized view of the parties is that the democrats are evil while the republicans are cowardly and/or incompetent. Evil is definitely too hyperbolic in this instance, but what I mean is that it seems to me that democrats actively push for measures that are bad or harmful, while republicans generally end up going along out of incompetence of craven self-interest. So in the absence of any other information on a pair of candidates, I might choose the republican... or the non-incumbant. So while I may have a bias towards republican candidates, I'm not structurally averse to voting for democrats. For instance, if I was still living in the
PRC, I would certainly be voting for Mr. Obama... because Mr. Keyes is quite mad. (I must confess though, that had Mr. Ryan not dropped out of the race, I would be hard pressed not to vote for the guy who got his wife Seven of Nine to bed him in public)
Anyhow, so there are my preconceptions and my guiding views (vote for politicians with hot wives).
Now, on to the two presidential candidates in this year's race.
Let's look at the issues. (Presented in almost no particular order)
Space Policy: Nothing too substantial here from either candidate, although I at least like the words that Bush has put out for the most part. NASA is still bloated and not too amenable to executive oversight no matter who the chief exec is. Bush sounds more like Kirk while Kerry is a bit too Jean-Luc for my tastes. Personally I think that space exploration and development should be the fed's number one priority after national security. That's not going to happen no matter who's in the white house come november. No points for either side here.
Firearms: Kerry made some noise about the need to renew the assault weapons ban. Irregardless of whether I think that particular legislation to be pseudo-constitutional, I think it's a poor piece of legislation as to how it was written. However, since if he wins Kerry would no longer be a legislator, I doubt he'd be able to get a new ban through the GOP controlled house. Bush could have gained a few points had the renewal come up for veto, but it died on the congressional floor. No points for anyone.
Homosexual unions: Bush threw a bone to a section of his base with the gay marriage ban amendment thingy that was never going to get through the congress. Kerry said his position on gay marriage was the same as the president's. Seems they were both sucking up to the same perceived demographic. I
wrote about my thoughts on the matter some time ago. Basically I think it's not a civil rights issue, the legislators should handle it, and we ought not change the definitions of words willy-nilly. Meh. No points for either candidate... not many to be had anyhow.
Taxes: A Nobel prize winning economist has criticized Bush's tax cut package for being to small. Kerry meanwhile has proposed raising taxes on households of married professionals and small business owners. Course if those people get taxed more, they'll just work and produce less so as to get into a lower bracket. At best revenue will remain the same... at the worst it will be less than pleasant for the ole' economy. No points for Bush here. Or Kerry for that matter.
Jobs and outsourcing: Ok, I really don't think there's much that either candidate could do in office to effect jobs or the outsourcing therof. Unless we want to nationalize the economy. (And people say Bush = Hitler
now!) In the debates Bush mentioned education as the solution. Kerry made some vaguely protectionist sounding remarks about protecting American jobs etc. At least Bush's words made better sense economically -- capital investment is always a good thing (that's what education is for a single person firm selling their labor) Not really anything to give points for here.
Spending and the defecit: Bush failed to veto a single bill that came across his desk in his four year term. I find it hard to believe that there wasn't one bit of pork there that he could have vetoed. Kerry meanwhile is proposing various programs and initiatives that total in the trillions of dollars of
increased spending. Now, as president, Kerry would no longer legislate, so there's some question whether even a dollar of that spending would get through the GOP controlled congress... but who am I kidding here... republicans are cowardly and incompetent... some sizable portion of that would be shoved through the people's r*ct*m. Minus 10 points for both candidates.
Health Care: Bush bribed the largest block of voters with the prescription drug plan. While I understand the politics behind paying off old folks with butter so as to send the young folks off with guns, that doesn't mean I have to like it. Kerry meanwhile voiced the idea that all 300 million + American citizens (and presumably the several million illegals and however many millions more are attracted by the program) should have the same health care as the members of the US senate. Now, besides being non sequitor, this proposal is patently ridiculous. People complain about flu vaccine shortage now... wait'll you have to wait several months for your allergy meds. Bah! minus 10 points for everyone!
Prior military service: Basically I don't care. No points for anyone. Oh wait... minus 100 points for CBS.
The War: Well, I must confess... this is it... the big kahuna. Not only because I think that foreign policy should be the primary concern of the federal government, but also because all of the proceeding issues will start seeming pretty unimportant if a suitcase nuke goes off in Manhattan. I'm dividing this part into several subsections.
Allies and the UN: Kerry claims Bush has given the finger to America's allies, and promises to restore our alliances... while badmouthing our new allies in Iraq,
and our much older allies that went into Iraq with us. Right now we've got all of our allies from that great crusade, world war two, with the exception of France, Canada, and China. But we've got 2/3rds of the Axis on our side in the form of Italy and Japan. Yeah, American troops are bearing the brunt of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan. Gee, perhaps that's because no other country on earth with the military resources of the US. Are we to be paralysed by the fact that our allies just don't have large militaries? Are we to forswear action that requires us to provide more that 50% of the personnel? Our military would be useless. I think we ought to do more to get other nations to bear their own defense costs, rather than relying on our umbrella coverage. Oh yeah, and as to France and Germany, besides support for the US being politcally untenable for the politicians there, it turns out a bunch of folks were getting paid off by Saddam with oil contracts via oil for food. Great...
In conclusion, Bush has sought allies to the extent that it helps our objectives, and our allies have helped us to the extent that it has helped their objectives... and those that weren't helped didn't help.
Iraq: At the current casualty rate, we would have to be in Iraq for a century of violent occupation until we reached the casualty level sustained during the Vietnam war. This is not your father's vietnam... indeed, it's not vietnam at all. Funny how some people can't get that war out of their heads. Talk about planning for the last war. Anyhow... was invading Iraq the right thing to do in 2003? Well... it may not have been the
best thing to do, but it was certainly not the worst thing to do, and I think it was a good thing to do. It was bold, it kept initiative on our side. It eliminated a saliant in our lines. Could some other course of action have worked as well or better? No doubt... but... that's really only a determination that can be made in hindsight. Should we continue to stay in Iraq now? YES. Kerry is ostensibly concerned about allies... we've got 25 million new allies right there, as long as we stick around and help them clean up shop. Who would have thought in 1944 while fighting raged in the Pacific that sixty years later we'd be getting our unintelligible children's animation and school girl fetish needs supplied by the grandkids of the folks we were fighting. Just think what we'll be getting from Iraq in sixty years if we tough it out for three or four more years.
The continuing war: Kerry wants us to "get back to where we were" during the 1990's... when terrorism was just a nuisance. Bush has demonstrated a resolve to take the fight to the enemy and those who would support them. Two rogue states converted into (toddling) new republics is not a bad record for three years. Yeah, mistakes have been made... Tenet probably should have gotten canned long before he was... but...
How many attacks have there been on US territory since 9/11/01?
Oh sure, but there weren't any attacks in the three years prior to 9/11/01 either...
October 12 2000
August 7 1998
February 26 1993
to name a few...
and it's not like aq affiliates have just given up violence either.
October 12 2002
March 11 2003
September 1 2004
Perhaps all the terrorist energy is directed at our troops in Iraq?
Wonderful I say... it keeps our civillians safe, and the loss ratio (15:1 or more) is a lot better than our loss ratio from the 11th (~1:300)
Iran, Korea, and the atom: The one area I'm really concerned about... I don't see any moves being made right now to stop the mullahs from getting the bomb... however, I obviously don't have access to every piece of intel and every government plan. I do know that Kerry wants to give the Iranians nuclear fuel in exchange for the enriched waste. Yeah... that sounds like a great idea... no chance at all that a few kg of the stuff will just disappear... oh yeah, and the Iranians won't have it anyhow.
Conclusion: Like I said earlier... most of this stuff doesn't matter. I'm really only concerned about the war, and making sure that we don't have to make a lot of glass quick. I don't think that the Bush admin's handling of the war has been perfect... far from it... but then, neither was FDR's or Lincoln's or even Washington's. At least Bush thinks this is a fight we need to win. Kerry and foreign policy benchwarmers from the Clinton era want to go back to the 1990's. Trouble is, they don't have a time machine...
Bush has got my vote this year.
No matter who wins though, we'd better be praying that God has some mercy saved up for us all... otherwise we may be staring down some scrolls and trumps...